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Some reading for the “anti-warmalists” and “climate-change deniers”

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Kiwithrottlejockey
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« Reply #450 on: August 04, 2015, 05:44:55 pm »


GLOBAL_WARMING_RISING_SEA_LEVELS
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« Reply #451 on: August 04, 2015, 10:16:20 pm »


from The Dominion Post....

Window closing fast on climate change options

By RALPH CHAPMAN | 9:24PM - Tuesday, 04 August 2015

A larger investment in wind power would be a major boost to New Zealand's renewable energy goals. — Photo: Reuters.
A larger investment in wind power would be a major boost to New Zealand's renewable energy goals.
 — Photo: Reuters.


PILOTS know that there is a brief window of time between losing oxygen and passing out, a period in which some life-saving action is possible.

With climate change, we are at that moment now.

As climate destabilisation gathers pace, balanced democratic decision-making in many countries will become more difficult, and short-term palliatives will prevail over more rational long-term mitigation strategies.

This country has spent most of the last 25 years dithering on climate change.

Inaction poses an increasing risk to New Zealand's reputation.

We are lagging behind in action and in planning to address climate change, and this is being noticed by our international partners.

In advance of the UN climate summit in Paris this December, New Zealand has proposed a weak mitigation offer that has rightly been dismissed as “inadequate” by Climate Action Tracker, a highly credible group of European policy analysts.

Now, with US President Barack Obama's latest clean power plan, the pressure on all countries to act is ratcheting up.

A reputation as a good international citizen carries weight.

I know from personal experience in helping to negotiate the Kyoto Protocol, some years ago, that New Zealand can be effective in encouraging other nations to act in the common interest.

The recent publication of a global soft power index in The Economist shows New Zealand scoring well on the “ability to coax and persuade” — we are not irrelevant when it comes to diplomacy, or in our capacity to act as a global conscience.

But we can make no claim to being a useful global conscience if we are falling behind in addressing climate change.

Where is New Zealand's comprehensive low-emissions strategy?

Even where we are not behind, such as in our use of renewable electricity, the Government offers feeble excuses for inaction.

It is illogical to claim that, because our electricity is already largely renewable, we cannot do more. We can.

Take wind power, for example. New Zealand has about 700MW of wind installed and this generates about 5 percent of our total electricity output over a year.

But an additional 2000MW is consented, and still has not been built.

Pushing ahead with these wind projects, now, might increase New Zealand's wind power to over 15 percent of total electricity output, an amount that would bring us much closer to the 100 percent renewable ideal.

One of the main reasons renewable electricity is not being developed more quickly is the low carbon price on gas and coal, a laughable $7 per tonne of CO2.

This could be lifted to around $50 per tonne by, for example, the Government introducing a rising floor price in the emissions trading system (ETS).

This price would be in line with estimates of the “social cost of carbon” (the damage caused by carbon emissions).

With such a floor, it is likely the remaining coal power plant at Huntly would close, for example.

The price of electricity would rise marginally, but carbon emissions would fall.

Real progress requires positive action by both central and local government.

The momentum for this is building, but it must be accelerated.

A fundamental danger posed by New Zealand's policy stance on climate change is that our inaction will add to a sense of global powerlessness in the face of climate change, perpetuating indecisiveness at precisely the moment when it is most critical to act.

The scientific evidence is now absolutely compelling about the urgent need to act on climate change.

Increasingly ominous warnings have been sounded by many, from the World Bank to the International Energy Agency.

These point to climate change as intensifying the threat to global security.

Every country, no matter how small, should be taking urgent action.

We need to do our absolute best to cut emissions over the critical next two decades, or we run the medium-term risk of the international community starting to fracture under the stress of growing climate destabilisation.

It is time for robust policy from a Government that no longer says “we can't do much more,” but says instead, “we will do everything we must.”


• Associate Professor Ralph Chapman is director of the graduate programme in environmental studies at Victoria University of Wellington, and the author of Time of Useful Consciousness: Acting Urgently on Climate Change, a BWB Text published this week.

http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/70810722/window-closing-fast-on-climate-change-options
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« Reply #452 on: August 05, 2015, 06:47:30 pm »

Please send me some global warming...its freezing up here Shocked
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« Reply #453 on: August 06, 2015, 03:44:40 pm »

And when the sun blithely ignores humanities pitiful attempts to restrain it and carries on with altering the climate just as it has done for millennia, I don't suppose Ralph Chapman will be anywhere to be seen.
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« Reply #454 on: August 22, 2015, 02:28:12 pm »


An interesting photograph gallery on The Washington Post's website....


Frightening, yet beautiful: Greenland’s melting glaciers
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« Reply #455 on: August 23, 2015, 07:14:21 pm »

haha ....brucie..... why are you shitting your pants over the bogeyman...global (hurry up its freezing) warming Wink

...how many kiwis did global warming kill last year Roll Eyes
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« Reply #456 on: September 11, 2015, 07:44:31 am »

Pacific leaders agree to disagree on climate change at leaders forum
 
Pacific leaders have agreed to disagree on climate change. From left Kiribati President Anote Tong, PM John Key, PNG PM Peter O'Neill and Australian PM Tony Abbott.

New Zealand and Australia have held their ground on climate change at the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) and made no extra commitments ahead of world talks in Paris.

Pacific leaders took part in a retreat today where five key areas of climate change, fisheries, connectivity, health and human rights abuses in West Papua were nutted out.

It was clear discussions hadn't gone smoothly when the press conference was delayed by more than two hours, with leaders staying behind closed doors to work through points of difference.

Kiribati President Anote Tong has long been advocating for the Pacific to step up its game on climate change and on Thursday following the retreat he said he hadn't got the outcome he would have liked.

"Whether we accept it or not is a different question," he said.

Those islands barely 2m above sea level were the ones on the "frontline" dealing with the issues of climate change, he said.

Kiribati's President Anote Tong would have liked more to have come out of climate change talks at the Pacific Islands Forum.
Kiribati's President Anote Tong would have liked more to have come out of climate change talks at the Pacific Islands Forum.

"We're not totally disagreeing - we have a position we'll advance in Paris at the end of this year," Tong said.

While Key and Abbott hadn't committed to any new targets on climate change they acknowledged small island nations wanted no more than a 1.5 degree increase in global temperature.

Currently the UN mandate is for no more than a 2 degree rise.

"There is agreement that we as Pacific countries accept for low lying states they are particularly vulnerable, and they would seek an even more ambitious target in Paris," Key said.

"In the end we'll see what Paris comes out with."

Abbott said both Australia and New Zealand would go to the UN conference in Paris with "very ambitious targets" but no further commitments would be made as a result of PIF.

"The point I certainly make is that we believe we can get emissions down, that we can be constructive global citizens when it comes to climate change, without clobbering our economy with new taxes and massive new charges.

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"Because none of us are in the business of damaging vital industries like agriculture in the case of New Zealand or resources in the case of Australia," Abbott said.

"We must be good environmental citizens but we must also have strong economies with prosperity and jobs for our people."

Fisheries also featured heavily at the forum and leaders agreed to take a closer look at New Zealand's quota management system in an effort to better sustain, in particular, the region's tuna population.

Key said fisheries ministers from PIF would travel to New Zealand to look at the quota management system and talk with scientists about its benefits.

Abbott also made a commitment to pump more money into aerial surveillance of the Pacific region to keep a closer eye on fisheries.

Human rights abuses in the Indonesian province of West Papua have had emotions running high at this year's forum including protests at PIF calling for Pacific leaders to do more.

Papua New Guinea Prime Minister Peter O'Neill said as a result of the retreat there would be a discussion with Indonesia about the "possibility of a fact finding mission".

O'Neill denied that the forum had been a "missed opportunity" to do more for West Papua and he said he was "encouraged by what we're hearing from Jakarta".

"It's just the first of many steps for us," he said.

The leaders commended the Indonesian Government for coming to the table about the human rights concerns.

On Friday leaders would be involved in post-forum dialogue and Key would open the new trade and enterprise office in Port Moresby and announce a new Trade Commissioner for the country.

 - Stuff
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« Reply #457 on: September 11, 2015, 06:48:00 pm »


from the Los Angeles Times…

Congress fiddles while the West burns

By DAVID HORSEY | 5:00AM - Monday, September 07, 2015



IMAGINE a 55-mile-long lake that starts in the Sierras and ends in the wine country of Paso Robles, or, for an even more precise description, picture a lake with the Alps at one end and Tuscany at the other. That would be Lake Chelan, a glacial fjord that carves its way out of the Cascade Mountains and flows into the dry vineyard-and-orchard-wrapped terrain of eastern Washington state.

Lake Chelan is where my family has vacationed nearly every summer for a quarter century, but I've never written about it, not wanting to encourage even more tourists to swamp the place. The secret is out, though. If you checked the top news in the Los Angeles Times or watched any national news reports last month, you will have seen images of Lake Chelan with houses along the shore — and even boats and docks — burned to charred ruins. You will have seen thick smoke choking the air and blocking the normally blue sky.

For a number of days, the town of Chelan at the dry end of the long lake was the epicenter of a huge wildfire, one of many that made this the worst fire season in Washington's history (the previous record for worst was set only last year). There were dozens of other major fires in California, Oregon, Idaho and other parts of the West and many of them — including the conflagration near Chelan — have yet to be fully contained. As Governor Jerry Brown has observed, there is not a fire “season” anymore; thanks to climate change, wildfires are becoming a year-round phenomenon.

At one point, when it seemed half the country was going up in smoke, the folks fighting the flames around Chelan called for reinforcements and there were none to be found. All available firefighting crews were already in burning woodlands scattered throughout several states. To meet the need for more able hands, Washington Governor Jay Inslee called up the National Guard, then asked for citizen volunteers who were willing to be trained on the job.

Not only has manpower been stretched to the limit and beyond during this year's wildfire war, but the budget of the U.S. Forest Service has been drained by the endless fight. And, guess what? It is only going to get worse as rising global temperatures continue to dry out millions of acres of forest.

The good news is that there are mitigation and prevention efforts that could help the problem. Over the last five years, the federal Collaborative Forest Landscape Restoration Program has diminished the likelihood of massive fires on 1.43 million acres. Better management of forests, including controlled burns and the removal of dry underbrush and insect-damaged trees, could do even more. The bad news is that the Forest Service does not have enough money to carry through with these measures because all the money is being spent fighting fires. In other words, they cannot pay for preventing fires because they are busting the budget trying to put out the ones that are burning.

There is a way to fix the funding problem. Wildfires are clearly natural disasters, just like hurricanes, floods and tornadoes. If the costs of fighting wildfires were charged to FEMA, the federal agency tasked with handling big disastrous events, the Forest Service could use its money the way it was intended — managing the forests. There is only one thing standing in the way of that logical policy: America's do-nothing lawmakers.

Congress has, for years, failed to give the Forest Service enough money to do its job. A new Wildlife Disaster Funding Act has languished while our senators and representatives have been busy doing as little as possible about most of the problems facing the nation. It isn't just partisan gridlock that has prevented action. Narrow-visioned budget hawks have failed to see that a miserly approach to the Forest Service budget actually costs the country more money as preventable wildfires go unchecked and the economies of the western states get hit over and over. The climate change deniers in Congress add to the problem by refusing to recognize that wildfires are one of many challenges that must be addressed as environmental realities shift.

Wildfires are burning homes, destroying natural resources and habitats, wrecking vacation areas, hurting rural communities, threatening agricultural economies and taking lives, including those of three firefighters who were brought down by a blaze north of Chelan. It may be too great a stretch to say members of Congress have blood on their hands, but if they fail to act before another summer of burning begins, they will certainly share a big part of the blame for the tragic results.


http://www.latimes.com/opinion/topoftheticket/la-na-tt-west-burns-20150906-story.html
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« Reply #458 on: September 12, 2015, 07:50:16 am »

Pacific forum not perfect but better than not meeting at all - John Key
 

There's nothing "perfect" about bringing together Pacific leaders to discuss issues facing the region but it's better than not talking at all, says John Key.

The Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) in Port Moresby has almost wrapped up and while New Zealand has pumped $50 million into improving fisheries in the Pacific, little has changed in terms of climate change commitments and putting a stop to human rights atrocities in West Papua.

Key disputed suggestions PIF was simply a talk-fest, and said he was used to those claims at a range of different multi-lateral forums.

"The question you have to ask yourself is, is this perfection? Probably not, but what's the alternative? The alternative is we don't meet and I don't think that would help."


Pacific forums would always have "challenges" because of the range of countries and their different economies being brought together.

"Australia and New Zealand are developed OECD countries with different economies to say, for instance, Kiribati," he said.

Reports of human rights abuses in West Papua have long been on forum agendas and some Pacific nations have pushed for the Indonesian Government to be held to account for the injustices.

Key went into talks at the retreat on Thursday with no plans to support a fact-finding mission despite non-government organisations working in West Papua and the Green Party calling for an investigation.

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As a result of PIF the forum chairman, Papua New Guinea Prime Minister Peter O'Neill, would now speak with Indonesian officials about the possibility of a fact-finding mission.

"The realistic point is of course that we'd prefer to do that with the support of the Indonesians otherwise it can become a very difficult thing to do," Key said.

"I think we're making progress but I accept some people would want it to happen more quickly but if you don't have buy-in from the Indonesians then there will always be challenges around the credibility of it."

Foreign Affairs Minister Murray McCully said New Zealand had already tried to do more in West Papua and had planned to have a policing project set up there more than a year ago.

"Because we couldn't arrive at conditions acceptable we decided not to proceed with it."

McCully said he had spoken with the Indonesian vice minister of foreign affairs in Port Moresby this week and stressed that the fact the issue was so prominent at PIF shouldn't be ignored.

"The best way to get them to respond is to ask them nicely but firmly."

"Shouting from the rooftops and expecting Indonesians to salute is just not going to work," he said.

If a fact-finding mission got the green light, McCully said he would consider financing it if New Zealand was asked to.

"I certainly hope if the idea was put forward (Indonesia) would respond to it positively but I didn't get a very reassuring response to that."

"The best way to avoid human rights abuses in West Papua is to focus the Indonesian authorities on the fact that the international community wants them to do better," he said.

Indonesia was a "young country and their institutions aren't perfect" but "they've accepted they need to work on these things and need international support to do so," McCully said.

 - Stuff
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« Reply #459 on: September 13, 2015, 05:02:36 pm »


Mark Morford

Everything is on fire and no one cares

By Mark Morford, SF Gate Columnist | 10:19AM PDT - Monday, August 24, 2015

2015 is fast on track to have more firefighters, more money spent, more resources dedicated to fighting wildfires than any time in modern history.
2015 is fast on track to have more firefighters, more money spent, more resources dedicated to fighting wildfires than any time in modern history.

EVERY SUMMER of my existence, I've spent at least a week or two — if not major portions of my childhood — up at a postcard-perfect family getaway cabin in northernmost Idaho, on a stunning lake called Pend Oreille, mere minutes from a scrappy little Western town called Sandpoint (surviving though “sheer grit and perseverance”, according to the New York Times). Magical barely begins to cover it.

And every summer for fast approaching five decades, it's been gloriously the same: mid-July through late August, it's a near-perfect bouquet of 90-degree days and crystalline, star-soaked nights, the air itself becoming imbued with a soft, healing quality and all of it interrupted by the occasional feral, window-rattling summer thunderstorm to remind you of nature's omnipotence, right up until Labor Day, when faint hints of fall begin to paint the breeze.

In short, it's just sort of stupidly idyllic, a spectacular way to clear the mind and the lungs at one of the more pristine, unpretentious places on the planet, as yet despoiled by mega-developments or decimated by the roiling national economy.

But this year, for the first time since I can remember — and maybe for the first time in a century or more — something changed.

This year, there were wildfires.

Not the typical wildfires, mind you. Not the normal smattering of (relatively) easily controlled seasonal blazes that nature herself always ignites to help purge and clear; I mean all the massive, drought-amplified, state-engulfing wildfires you've been hearing about all season long — nearly all of them larger, earlier and more frequent than any time in modern history, ranging from a few thousand acres to the largest in the country, the Soda fire, currently engulfing upwards of 265,000 acres in southern Idaho, which joins with all the other Pacific Northwest fires burning throughout Washington, Oregon and Montana.
And here you thought just California was ablaze.


17,000 square miles burned in Alaska and Canada alone. The loss of wildlife? Unimaginable.
17,000 square miles burned in Alaska and Canada alone. The loss of wildlife? Unimaginable.

It's often a gorgeous kind of terror that wildfires bring.
It's often a gorgeous kind of terror that wildfires bring.

The views are getting more disquieting by the year.
The views are getting more disquieting by the year.

Do you know about Alaska? Nearly five million acres have burned throughout that unusually hot, dry state this year, which is a record, which is something like the size of Connecticut (combined), which is more staggering than your heart can process. Go ahead, try it. And then add in Canada's staggering wildfires, and you hit upwards of 11 million scorched acres — that's 17,000 square miles, and still going strong. That's terrifying.

The scariest part? Fire season, historically speaking, doesn't even begin until September. Did you know 2015 is already officially the hottest year ever recorded on Earth? Did you know Alaska recorded its hottest month ever, in 91 years of record keeping, in May? Or that Washington's biggest fire could keep burning until it snows? The worst — as nearly every scientist, climatologist, environmentalist in the world is all too sick of saying these days — is yet to come.

How dire do you want it? What's it going to take? As Eric Holthaus over at Slate recently put it WRT the huge and immediate changes needed right now from the UN and various self-serving, combative, greedy world leaders to combat this downward spiral: Where is everyone?

(Here's your must-read of the month: The New Yorker profile of the amazing Christiana Figueres, head of the UN's Framework Convention on Climate Change — the U.N.F.C.C.C. — and just what she's up against in trying to rally member nations to make real changes, right now).

This year, my summer visit to Idaho was swallowed, most days, in a thick, gauzy haze. It was as though the sky was overlaid with a bleakest of Instagram filters; the smoke was often so dense, it blocked the blue light spectrum entirely, washing everything in a pale, flat yellow, a creepy, apocalyptic tint that contrasted well with the redness in your eyes and the gray dryness of your throat.

Here's the thing: It wasn't just weird. It's not just “an unusually hot and dry season.” You can feel it in your very cells: this is all part of a increasingly vicious, mean-ass vortex of accelerating evidence that the planet and all its animals — of which we are merely one — are under a potentially fatal stress like no other time in modern history.

Put another way: It's not merely about preparing for rough weather. It's not about stocking up on extra water, flashlight batteries, a solar iPhone charger. Climate change doesn't merely mean life is going to get much more difficult, much more quickly than most people — particularly the rich and oligarchic — can possibly imagine. It means it's going to get much more disquieting.


The NOAA map. 2015 is officially the hottest year ever recorded by humans.
The NOAA map. 2015 is officially the hottest year ever recorded by humans.

Pend Oreille lake, in northern Idaho, as seen though a pale, hazy filter of very creepy beauty.
Pend Oreille lake, in northern Idaho, as seen though a pale, hazy filter of very creepy beauty.

The very tone and timbre of life is changing. The air is shifting, the light. As ecosystems collapse, as animals either hatch in bizarre megaswarms or vanish completely, as forests whither and thin out, the planet's increasingly palpable failure to hold itself in some kind of equilibrium is going to creep into your very spine, shake your dreams. Don't believe it? Just wait.

Winter will soon come and finally put out all the fires, to be replaced by (if all predictions are to be believed), savage El Nińo flooding, pounding the bone-dry, unprepared ground, which in turn will be replaced by yet another scorching summer. Did you know we're pumping more C02 into the atmosphere than ever before in history? Did you know we've wiped out half the planet's wildlife in just the past 40 years?

Up in Idaho, when the smoke was so thick it turned the sky a pallid urine color, I noticed something else: the birds.

They stopped chirping. The air often fell dead still. No bees, no bugs, no osprey, no eagles; the smoke appeared to choke off all normal, life-affirming activity. I heard reports of herds of parched, exhausted, soot-covered elk and deer crossing local highways, seeking water and relief from the fire. That same afternoon, I noticed a huge swarms of dead flies — not the usual lake gnats, the no-see-ums and such — but large, black flies, by the tens of thousands — covering the surface of lake near our cabin. I skipped my swim.

This is what we have yet to realize: it's not just about preparing for more severe weather. It's far more about what's about to happen to the experience of life itself, how we navigate our terrifically spoiled, entitled daily lives and with what newfound combination of panic and kindness — all amplified, to a rather terrifying degree, by the realization that the more we refuse to change our gluttonous ways, the more nature is going to step in and change them for us.


Email: Mark Morford

Mark Morford on Twitter and Facebook.

http://blog.sfgate.com/morford/2015/08/24/everything-is-on-fire-and-no-one-cares
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« Reply #460 on: September 13, 2015, 07:05:45 pm »

..hope the global warming gets here soon..its freezing...it will do wonders for tourism..wonder if we'll be able to grow mango's Tongue

looks like kj and Mark "the moron" Morgford  are shitting themselves...how many people in NZ has it killed so far Roll Eyes

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« Reply #461 on: September 13, 2015, 11:57:08 pm »


Watch out for El Nińo....it's coming and global-warming/climate-change is going to make it considerably worse than it was in 1997-1998.

So, if you live in Northland, Auckland, Waikato, King Country, the 'Naki, Rangatikei, Manawatu or on the West Coast of the South Island, you'll gonna get dumped on big-time and be in for a wet, miserable summer (listening to the JAFAs whinging about their terrible summer should be highly entertaining).

However, if you live down the East Coast of either island, you're gonna fry 'cause you're heading for a HUGE drought.

That should get the cockies (the Nats' mates) squealing like stuck pigs, eh? 


Meanwhile, across the other side of the Pacific pond…




Mark Morford

The coming flood: 10 ways to prepare for El Nińo

By Mark Morford, SF Gate Columnist | 3:10PM PDT - Wednesday, September 09, 2015

Hard to imagine this scenario, when it's 100 degrees and scorching dry. But this isn't far off. You ready?
Hard to imagine this scenario, when it's 100 degrees and scorching dry. But this isn't far off. You ready?

SURE, you're hot and dry now. Just you wait.

It's been so long since it rained here in California — I mean really, truly rained, more than a couple days' worth, more than “Hey maybe I should buy an umbrella oh wait never mind” — you probably can't remember what it's like when it rains more or less steadily, more or less torrentially, for days, weeks, even months straight, in true El Nińo style.

But hear this now: Danger approacheth. The signs are coming fast and hard from nature and science alike that there's a new, far larger, far more intense “Godzilla” El Nińo brewing out in the very unhappy ocean, and if most models are to be believed, this winter is going to make the '08 downpour look like a dash through a lawn sprinkler.

(Alert! All these so-called El Nińo “experts” are the same sketchy, liberal science-types who claim climate change is real and man-made. All GOP/Trump/Fox News fans are encouraged to ignore all storm warnings and safety precautions. Nature loves your livid ignorance. It's what Jesus would have wanted).

So then: Are you prepared for El Nińo 2.0? Might as well start gathering the goods now; the storms will start rolling soon, and who knows if Amazon's delivery drones can survive the rain. A few suggestions:


1. World-class umbrella

Ever been to Seattle? Great city. Utterly abysmal fashion sense, a miserable parade of fleece, baggy Gore-Tex and clumpy hiking boots at the office. Seattle fashion, largely due to all that rain, is even worse than San Francisco. Terrifying.

When the rains come, don't go “full Seattle.” Skip the Gore-Tex and invest right now in a few large, unbreakable, professional-grade umbrellas. They're sophisticated, functional and cheap enough that you won't freak out when you forget them in various Ubers, and you can wear almost anything you like underneath. What are you, a 5-year-old at Boy Scout camp? Do you see the French walking around in shapeless lime green REI raingear? Have some self respect.


Only if you enjoy general mocking and never want to have sex. Go big or go home.
LEFT: Only if you enjoy general mocking and never want to have sex. | RIGHT: Go big or go home.

2. Waterproof camera

I have the Olympus Tough TG-3. They just released the TG-4. Terrific little beast, fast and easy and damn near indestructible (there are other choices too). Mine's been through three Burning Mans and multiple ocean dips, hot tubs and pools and naughty showers galore, and still going strong.

Why a dedicated all-weather camera? Because waterproof iPhone cases are pain-in-the-ass bulky, and you want to be ready to take awesome snaps as the frogs rain down, yes?


3. Inflatable canoe

I confess I know nothing about the blowup watercraft industry. But apparently it's a thing, and in space-strapped San Francisco, where garages are almost non-existent, inflatables store much more easily and just might be perfect for cruising around the flood-ravaged streets, rescuing hopeless tech bros and baffled hipsters from their rooftops and delivering fresh margaritas to the needy.

4. Los Angeles Mudslide Drinking Game

Every winter it's the same; epic mudslides stun the hapless City of Angels, as if they never learned that lots of water and loose topsoil — and poor urban planning — don't actually create concrete.

Behold, the Los Angeles Mudslide Drinking Game! Take a shot for every viral video of some multimillionaire movie producer's Frank Lloyd Wright knock-off sliding down Laurel Canyon or Malibu Canyon, and turning into a very expensive mudstick sculpture. Bonus shot if it belongs to Michael Bay.


5. Waterproof tent

Not for outside, silly. For the living room, when the moisture makes all the wooden framing of your ancient San Francisco Victorian swell and warp, and you suddenly don't have enough buckets to catch all the leaks. Just like camping! Except with better porn. And coffee.

Larger than most San Francisco studio apartments, and .oo1% the price.
Larger than most San Francisco studio apartments, and .oo1% the price.

6. El Nińo playlist

Are you thinking “Singin' in the Rain” or maybe “Rainy Days and Mondays”? What are you, 90 years old? This is El Nińo 2.0. Get serious.

This means Tool, Nick Cave, Leonard Cohen, Zep's “The Rain Song”, Tom Waits, Morphine's “You Look Like Rain”. Because obviously.




7. Yoga class pass

What, you think I'd let this post go by without a devout plug for my other, nicely intertwined career? Rainy days are designed for vigorous, spiritually supercharged sweating, indoors and partially naked. Besides, my new book isn't anywhere near done, and I still haven't given in to the downloadable-online-class thing. Yoga is much better in person, anyway. What's not to like? See you there.

8. Vizio M-Series

Just got a 65" version of this ridiculously good, relatively affordable slab of LCD wonder, and I'm stunned at just how obscenely how fast the glass and the tech have improved since I bought my (then-ginormous, now failing) 42" Samsung seven years ago. Add the new Apple TV and multiple wine club/bourbon subscriptions, and you're all set for endless rainy-day binge watching (Personal recs: Inside Amy Schumer, Rick and Morty, Orphan Black, Burning Love, Parts Unknown, Key & Peele, Inexplicable Universe).

VIzio. Or whatever.
VIzio. Or whatever.

9. “This won't solve the drought” verbiage filter

It's going to get annoying. I'll surely say it, as will countless others in the coming months: No matter how much rain comes, El Nińo probably won't solve California's epic drought. It's too much water, too fast, too warm. What we need, of course, is a string of long, cold winters that dump tons of snow in the mountains. What we're about to get is a God tossing a giant water balloon on our heads, and running away cackling.

Find that depressing? Best set all news filters to weed out every mention of the rain's non-effect on the drought beyond the 100th repeat. Because yay rain! At least all the terrifying wildfires will be out. For a moment.


10. Cool baby name book/app/site

Wasn't there a surge of births roughly nine months after the '98 El Nińo? Doesn't it makes sense? Inhospitable weather = more time nesting at home = after you're done Instagramming all your artsy rain photos and binge-watching ‘Wet Hot American Summer’ and ‘Sherlock’, well, might as well get naked and knock it out. Repeatedly. After all, they don't call it El Nińo (“baby boy” or “the kid”) for nothing.

I swear I just saw this one on AirBnB.
I swear I just saw this one on AirBnB.

Oh right, Highway 1. Does not do well with heavy rains. Better get those scenic coastal drives in now.
Oh right, Highway 1. Does not do well with heavy rains. Better get those scenic coastal drives in now.

Weather does not much care for your poor urban planning.
Weather does not much care for your poor urban planning.

Red means go.
Red means go.

This, after just a couple DAYS of heavy downpour, last year. Imagine a few months.
This, after just a couple DAYS of heavy downpour, last year. Imagine a few months.

Nature is delivering us creatures we almost never see this far north. Because the ocean is warmer than ever, is why.
Nature is delivering us creatures we almost never see this far north. Because the ocean is warmer than ever, is why.

Rain is for ponderin'.
Rain is for ponderin'.

Email: Mark Morford

Mark Morford on Twitter and Facebook.

http://blog.sfgate.com/morford/2015/09/09/the-coming-flood-10-ways-to-prepare-for-el-nino
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« Reply #462 on: September 14, 2015, 12:08:15 am »


from The Washington Post....

West Coast residents caught in a line
of fire from California to Washington


By DARRYL FEARS | 3:54PM - Saturday, September 12, 2015

Firefighters salute as a motorcade passes before a memorial service on August 30th in Wenatchee, Washington, for three firefighters killed in a wildfire. Richard Wheeler, Andrew Zajac and Thomas Zbyszewski died on August 19th in the fire near Twisp, Washington. — Photograph: Elaine Thompson/Associated Press.
Firefighters salute as a motorcade passes before a memorial service on August 30th in Wenatchee, Washington, for three firefighters killed
in a wildfire. Richard Wheeler, Andrew Zajac and Thomas Zbyszewski died on August 19th in the fire near Twisp, Washington.
 — Photograph: Elaine Thompson/Associated Press.


WHEN the emergency sirens wailed, Christine Perry muttered, “Oh, Lord, not again,” then scampered outdoors.

For a second straight year, a monster fire lurked outside her tiny town of Pateros, Washington. She strained to see whether thick smoke was rolling her way. A year ago, she barely escaped her house before it was destroyed by wildfire. After rebuilding, she feared it would happen again.

“Last year they told us we were safe. The next thing I knew, I was running out of the house in my flip-flops with the fire in the back yard,” she said.

The house didn't simply catch fire, she said, “it exploded. It was unreal. It's something I'll never forget.”

Large wildfires are burning themselves into the memories of thousands of residents along the West Coast. In a region reeling from a historic drought, intense fires this year have raged from San Bernardino in Southern California, through Oregon, and up to Pateros near the Canadian border in northeast Washington, where Perry serves as mayor pro tem.

With more than a month remaining in the Western fire season, which starts each year in June, nearly 600,000 acres have burned in California. Washington is setting a record, with 990,000 scorched acres. And Oregon is on pace to match one of its worse seasons ever, with nearly 1 million acres burned.

Nationwide, more than 7 million acres have burned so far this year; the record is nearly 10 million in 2006. Fires in the Alaskan wilderness account for at least 5 million of the acres that have burned this year.

Never have so many acres burned with so much time left in the wildfire season. Across the country, the season has usually run from May through October, but climate change has extended the season from March to November, according to scientists and U.S. Forest Service officials responsible for suppressing fires on federal land.


Oregon National Guard Specialist Nicholas Hall, right, listens to an instructor during wildland fire training on August 25th in Salem, Oregon. Governor Kate Brown has activated more National Guard members to help fight destructive wildfires raging across the state. — Photograph: Ashley Smith/Statesman-Journal/Associated Press.
Oregon National Guard Specialist Nicholas Hall, right, listens to an instructor during wildland fire training on August 25th in Salem, Oregon.
Governor Kate Brown has activated more National Guard members to help fight destructive wildfires raging across the state.
 — Photograph: Ashley Smith/Statesman-Journal/Associated Press.


California, Oregon and Washington are all in the throes of a severe drought. The mountain snow that normally replenishes the water in rivers and lakes was so low in the three states that it burned away early and had little effect.

Wildfires are a natural part of forest ecology, serving an important role in removing grasses and brush, and paving the way for new growth. But drought and higher-than-normal temperatures have robbed the ground of moisture, creating abnormally dry conditions that spark when lightning strikes and sometimes roar into mammoth blazes.

“This year there are many more fires that have threatened or are threatening communities, closing highways and freeways, impacting entire towns,” said Joe Hessel, a forester in the northeast district of the Oregon Department of Forestry.

Some housing developments are controversial because they're built near the edge of forests, placing them in the path of fires that burn naturally. But some of the recent fires have threatened homes that are far from areas that normally burn.

“They're burning into towns,” Hessel said. “They're not homes out in the forest.”

Perry was in her house on a hill overlooking downtown Pateros in July last year — 30 miles from the forest edge — when sirens blared and emergency crews rushed in to evacuate her neighborhood.

She barely had time to help rescue her 88-year-old mother, Marian, who lived next door. “We're 30 miles from the forested area,” Perry said. Thirty houses covering three blocks were wiped out by a fire called the Carlton Complex. “It felt like we were surrounded by a fire tornado.”

Perry said she's one of five homeowners who rebuilt. A year later, in August, sirens announced the arrival of the Chelan Complex. “Oh, Lord,” she recalled thinking, “I do not want to do this again.”

The rebuilt house “looks like a hotel,” devoid of personal touches, Perry said, because she hasn't replaced family photos lost in the fire. Her children sent digital images that she printed, but she said, “I can't bring myself to put up personal pictures. Maybe I haven't dealt with what happened.”


The TePee wildfire is seen burning on August 29th at the Manning Bridge as it crosses the Salmon River near Riggins, Idaho. — Photograph: Don Jaques/U.S. Forest Service/Reuters.
The TePee wildfire is seen burning on August 29th at the Manning Bridge as it crosses the Salmon River near Riggins, Idaho.
 — Photograph: Don Jaques/U.S. Forest Service/Reuters.


It's rare that the Pacific Northwest experiences more acres destroyed by fire than California, but that's what is happening this season.

California's longer drought could be its salvation, said Richard Laton, an associate professor of hydrology at California State University at Fullerton. With so little precipitation, nothing grows after previous wildfires, so there's little fuel to make fires grow.

“We've had about 1,000 more fires than usual, but they're not big fires,” Laton said. “Worst-case scenario for us is a wet year that brings plants back, then we get a year of drought that makes them dry as hell.”

Still, California is having its “second-busiest season in a decade,” said Stanton Florea, a spokesman for the Forest Service's Pacific Southwest Region, which manages 21 million acres of wildlands in California.

Advances in firefighting is the main reason small fires aren't spreading, Florea said. The same is true in the Northwest, Hessel said. But so many fires are burning in Oregon and Washington, and farther east in Idaho and Montana, that states are competing for money needed for firefighters and equipment.

Ninety-eight fires have met the “large fires” criteria of the Northwest Interagency Coordination Center, a federal agency charged with coordinating fire suppression in the Pacific Northwest. More than 1.5 million acres have burned in Oregon and Washington. A single fire, the Canyon Creek Complex, burned 110,000 acres in Oregon.

A single fire in Washington, the North Star, is still going after burning more than 210,000 acres. The cost of fielding 11,500 firefighters and support personnel to fight all the fires reached more than $550 million by the end of August.

“We don't have enough folks to work the entire fire perimeter,” Hessel said.

So rather than fight a big fire where it's burning, Oregon firefighters are ordered to back off and build a fire-suppression line miles away to slow the flames when they eventually roar forward.

But that allows fires to burn longer and possibly larger, often eating away private land that feeds livestock, produces timber and supports recreation such as hunting tourism that generates revenue that boosts the economies of small towns.

“The fire gets bigger, and it's harder to put out. It takes longer,” Hessel said. “We have fires out here that are 300,000 acres.”


• Darryl Fears has worked at The Washington Post for more than a decade, mostly as a reporter on the National staff. He currently covers the environment, focusing on the Chesapeake Bay and issues affecting wildlife.

__________________________________________________________________________

Read more on this topic:

 • With a stunning 7.1 million acres burned so far, the U.S. wildfire season is dire

 • In the dry west, housing growth puts firefighters in the path of wildfires


https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/west-coast-residents-caught-in-a-line-of-fire-from-california-to-washington/2015/09/12/c875c8be-57c9-11e5-8bb1-b488d231bba2_story.html
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« Reply #463 on: September 14, 2015, 07:45:02 am »

..yes..different weather in different parts of the world...we should probably call it "weather change".. Wink
...just like it has for millions of years..NZ is famous for it...always has been...perhaps always will be Roll Eyes


Three dead, thousands homeless after Japan floods

5:00 AM Sunday Sep 13, 2015

Floods Japan Weather

Authorities are grappling with the aftermath of massive flooding that killed at least three people, as thousands of rescuers frantically searched a shattered community for almost two dozen still missing.

The heaviest rain in decades pounded the country following Typhoon Etau, which left a trail of destruction in its wake.

Hundreds of thousands were ordered to leave their homes and at least 22 people - including two 8-year-old children - were still unaccounted for yesterday in disaster-struck Joso city, about 60km outside Tokyo. Another person was missing in a northern prefecture.

Ryosei Akazawa, a member of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's cabinet, acknowledged that emergency personnel still did not know the whereabouts of the missing, as fears grow that the death toll will rise.

Parts of Joso, a community of 65,000, were destroyed on Thursday when a levee on the Kinugawa river gave way, flooding 32sq km.


Jiji Press news agency reported yesterday that almost 11,000 homes had been flooded.

Dramatic aerial footage showed houses being swept away by raging torrents in scenes eerily reminiscent of the devastating tsunami that crushed Japan's northeast coast four years ago.

Video
Desperate Joso residents waved towels from balconies trying to summon help, while military dinghies ferried dozens of people to safety, and helicopters plucked individuals from rooftops.

Hundreds of people are believed to still be trapped in buildings, after more than 600 had been rescued in Ibaraki prefecture.

About 5800 troops, police and firefighters have been sent to flooded areas where rescuers are working.

People were seen wading through waist-high water to reach shelters.

Another river in Miyagi prefecture, north of Ibaraki, burst its banks and flooded a populated area but many residents had already been evacuated, reports said.

Vehicles are submerged in front of a city hall northeast of Tokyo. Photo / AP

In Kanuma city, north of Joso, a 63-year-old woman was killed after being swallowed by landslides triggered by the heavy rain, and a 48-year-old woman was found dead in Miyagi. The third victim was a 25-year-old man helping to clear drains in the city of Nikko.

- AAP
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« Reply #464 on: September 27, 2015, 11:57:33 am »



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« Reply #465 on: October 05, 2015, 04:10:13 pm »



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« Reply #466 on: October 05, 2015, 05:34:39 pm »

aint got time right now..but please feel free to sumerise it and post your findings...cant wait Roll Eyes
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« Reply #467 on: October 09, 2015, 03:20:22 pm »


from the Los Angeles Times....

China, California and Pope Francis make good news on climate change

By DAVID HORSEY | 5:00AM - Thursday, October 08, 2015



THERE HAS been some very good news on the climate change front recently, but all the positive news is still far from being enough to make anyone rest easy.

The biggest news is China's plan to initiate a cap-and-trade system. During his visit to the White House at the end of September, President Xi Jinping surprised the world by announcing that, by 2017, his country will be setting up a national system for limiting emissions of harmful greenhouse gases and creating a market to provide incentives to reduce those emissions among core Chinese industries, including power generation, chemicals, iron and steel, building materials and papermaking.

Not only does this commit one of the world's two biggest polluters to a better path, but it also undercuts the argument against a cap-and-trade scheme in the other big polluter, the United States. When they are not denying that climate change is a global threat, Republicans in Congress are insisting the U.S. should not shackle its industries with emissions limits because it will merely give a big economic advantage to the Chinese. With China giving up that “advantage”, it is now harder to argue that Americans would be hurt by doing the right thing.

By the way, to say it is an advantage to stick with our antiquated dependence on fossil fuels instead of rapidly developing the kind of alternative energy system that will drive the most successful economies in decades to come is a canard anyway. As California Governor Jerry Brown said on Wednesday, “What has been the source of our prosperity now becomes the source of our ultimate destruction, if we don't get off it.”

Brown's comment came during a ceremony at Griffith Observatory in Los Angeles in which he put his signature on ambitious new goals that commit the state to use renewable sources for 50% of all energy by 2030. This is the next bit of good news.

“It's monumental,” said Alex Jackson, an attorney with the Natural Resources Defense Council, speaking to the Associated Press. “For an economy the size of California to commit to getting half of its power needs from renewable energy resources, I think, is a game changer.”

If California can transform its energy use that quickly and, in the process, strengthen its economy, it will have a strong ripple effect through other states as they try to catch up.

The third positive story was the strong climate change message Pope Francis delivered during his recent visit to the U.S. By putting the issue at the top of his agenda, he may have raised awareness of the issue, not only among American Catholics, but also among a wide range of voters and that might tip the political balance in the direction of action on the climate.

So what is the damper on these positive stories?

Regarding the pope, his call for Congress to take “courageous actions” to protect nature did not seem to make a dent in the Republican wall of opposition. The oil and coal interests still rule the GOP, the climate change deniers still rule key congressional committees and a Republican member of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Illinois Representative John Shimkus, dismissed the pope's influence, saying, “I don't think he moves the needle at all.”

As far as Governor Brown's ambitious plan, the petroleum industry will spend a ton of money trying to convince people that clean energy means lost jobs and a wrecked economy. It's a lie, but that will not stop them from trying to confuse voters and retard the transition to a greener energy regime.

And China? The government in Beijing can make declarations of intent, but corrupt local and regional officials beholden to industrialists can undermine the emissions goals, and China's weak legal system may not be up to the task of enforcement.

Despite the negatives, there are reasons to think all three of these developments stand a good chance of making a difference. But not only do they need to bear fruit, they also need to be just the start of a dramatic global effort to shift consciousness and policy. We have a long way to go before humanity can escape the worst environmental calamities that are looming. To get there, we will need many more transformational leaders standing up with Xi Jinping, Jerry Brown and Pope Francis.


http://www.latimes.com/opinion/topoftheticket/la-na-tt-good-news-on-climate-20151007-story.html
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« Reply #468 on: October 10, 2015, 10:50:54 am »

Nothing here that anyone with a jot of intelligence didnt already know....

Quote
A MATHEMATICAL discovery by Perth-based electrical engineer Dr David Evans may change everything about the climate debate, on the eve of the UN climate change conference in Paris next month.

A former climate modeller for the Government’s Australian Greenhouse Office, with six degrees in applied mathematics, Dr Evans has unpacked the architecture of the basic climate model which underpins all climate science.

He has found that, while the underlying physics of the model is correct, it had been applied incorrectly.

He has fixed two errors and the new corrected model finds the climate’s sensitivity to carbon dioxide (CO2) is much lower than was thought.

It turns out the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has over-estimated future global warming by as much as 10 times, he says.

“Yes, CO2 has an effect, but it’s about a fifth or tenth of what the IPCC says it is. CO2 is not driving the climate; it caused less than 20 per cent of the global warming in the last few decades”.

Dr Evans says his discovery “ought to change the world”.

“But the political obstacles are massive,” he said.

His discovery explains why none of the climate models used by the IPCC reflect the evidence of recorded temperatures. The models have failed to predict the pause in global warming which has been going on for 18 years and counting.

“The model architecture was wrong,” he says. “Carbon dioxide causes only minor warming. The climate is largely driven by factors outside our control.”

There is another problem with the original climate model, which has been around since 1896.

While climate scientists have been predicting since the 1990s that changes in temperature would follow changes in carbon dioxide, the records over the past half million years show that not to be the case.

So, the new improved climate model shows CO2 is not the culprit in recent global warming. But what is?

Dr Evans has a theory: solar activity. What he calls “albedo modulation”, the waxing and waning of reflected radiation from the Sun, is the likely cause of global warming.

He predicts global temperatures, which have plateaued, will begin to cool significantly, beginning between 2017 and 2021. The cooling will be about 0.3C in the 2020s. Some scientists have even forecast a mini ice age in the 2030s.

If Dr Evans is correct, then he has proven the theory on carbon dioxide wrong and blown a hole in climate alarmism. He will have explained why the doomsday predictions of climate scientists aren’t reflected in the actual temperatures.


Dr David Evans, who says climate model architecture is wrong, with wife Jo Nova, Picture: australianclimatemadness.com
“It took me years to figure this out, but finally there is a potential resolution between the insistence of the climate scientists that CO2 is a big problem, and the empirical evidence that it doesn’t have nearly as much effect as they say.”

Dr Evans is an expert in Fourier analysis and digital signal processing, with a PhD, and two Masters degrees from Stanford University in electrical engineering, a Bachelor of Engineering (for which he won the University medal), Bachelor of Science, and Masters in Applied Maths from the University of Sydney.

He has been summarising his results in a series of blog posts on his wife Jo Nova’s blog for climate sceptics.

He is about half way through his series, with blog post 8, “Applying the Stefan-Boltzmann Law to Earth”, published on Friday.

When it is completed his work will be published as two scientific papers. Both papers are undergoing peer review.

“It’s a new paradigm,” he says. “It has several new ideas for people to get used to.”

Clicky Thing
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« Reply #469 on: October 11, 2015, 11:44:23 am »



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« Reply #470 on: October 13, 2015, 05:56:59 pm »

Something here reminds me of 1930's Germany......
"So!! You dont belief zat der human race iss responsible for ze sun varming up ze environment!  Ve haf vays off making you change your mind!

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/11924776/Judges-plan-to-outlaw-climate-change-denial.html
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« Reply #471 on: October 13, 2015, 06:06:22 pm »

...yup..there needs to be a United Nations agreement by all countries to reduce pollution....to be fair...

...but I guess Putin or China would just veto the proposal Roll Eyes

....so lets just get used to the fact that if a Nuclear war does not finish off life on this planet...something else will...its not a matter of if...but when.....does it really matter Roll Eyes

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« Reply #472 on: October 13, 2015, 06:29:13 pm »



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« Reply #473 on: October 13, 2015, 06:47:08 pm »

Still shitting ya pants over global warming Shocked

..just think of all the kiwis it killed last year ...and dont forget to look under your bed  Roll Eyes

..you should be very, very scared Shocked
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« Reply #474 on: October 27, 2015, 11:12:25 am »


Stop being a total dork, MAGGOT.
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