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America's 2018 mid-term elections…


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Kiwithrottlejockey
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« on: December 28, 2017, 08:22:15 pm »


from the Los Angeles Times....

Let's not make 2018 a year of protest

“Taking the country back from Trump is as simple as turning out
opponents of his presidency in large enough numbers come November.”


By CONOR FRIEDERSDORF | 4:00AM PST — Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Demonstrators protest against US President Donald Trump and his administration's travel ban in Washington on January 30th. — Photograph: Zach Gibson/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images.
Demonstrators protest against US President Donald Trump and his administration's travel ban in Washington on January 30th.
 — Photograph: Zach Gibson/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images.


DISGUST WITH Donald Trump transformed 2017 into a year of protest. His critics gathered publicly in opposition to the inauguration; to march on behalf of women; to resist a travel ban that targeted Muslims; to insist on the importance of science; to express support for the rights of immigrants who are in the country illegally; and to decry America's withdrawal from the Paris climate accords. Many saw taking to the streets as the best way to express patriotic dissent. And showing up made it easier to organize an infrastructure for ongoing “resistance”.

The displays of opposition were an important civic statement in 2017. But prioritizing street protests in 2018 would be a grave error for Trump critics, as there are more effective and direct actions they can take to change the country's trajectory. Namely, they can work to dominate the 2018 mid-terms.

The new year will bring the most important off-year elections in many of our lifetimes. As is true every two years, the entire House will be up for re-election. A legislative body that Republicans control 239 seats to 193 seats could flip, thwarting President Trump's ability to advance his domestic agenda and allowing Democrats to investigate his corruption. Whether or not a high crime triggers impeachment may hang in the balance.

Often I am ambivalent about who controls Congress. I've supported and opposed presidents and legislators from both political parties, neither of which match my public policy preferences. And in state politics, I've always voted based on individual candidates, as I will this year.

But I am rooting for Democrats to take the House and Senate in the 2018 mid-terms. Beyond the greater oversight and accountability that divided government brings, a decisive defeat of the GOP is the only tool voters have to repudiate Trump, in particular his tendency to stoke animus against minority groups to gain power. For elites in a multi-ethnic polity, there is no more irresponsible course. Proving that it leads (eventually, at least) to electoral ruin could help quash the tactic for a generation, sparing the country more bigotry from the burgeoning forces who rallied under swastikas in Charlottesville, Virginia.


Protesters at Trump Plaza in West Palm Beach, Florida, in February. — Photograph: Jim Rassol/Sun-Sentinel.
Protesters at Trump Plaza in West Palm Beach, Florida, in February. — Photograph: Jim Rassol/Sun-Sentinel.

Another factor at work in my cheerleading for Team Democrat is that I live in California. Having lost the Golden State, Trump and his allies have repeatedly sought to punish its residents. They've been slow to appropriate disaster relief, included provisions in their failed healthcare bill that would've hit California hard, and disadvantaged the state in the tax bill. Too often, the 14 Republicans in California's House delegation have shown more loyalty to their partisan allies in Washington than to their Blue State constituents. Californians aren't benefitting from having the most House members of any state. If they insist on change, however, Californians could help themselves even as they flip Congress for the whole country.

Democrats, though, tend to have a hard time turning out voters in off-year elections. And all the unhappiness with Trump evident in opinion polls won't necessarily translate to the ballot box.

Seeking change through elections is hard, unheralded work. Registering voters, organizing phone trees, raising small donations and seeking permission to plant yard signs on front lawns isn't as glamorous as marching beneath pithy signs amid tens of thousands as cable news cameras roll. Unlike righteous posts on social media, there's no instant feedback. Some even regard it as woke to insist that America's existing political system is so corrupt that voting doesn't matter; only an egalitarian revolution will do the trick.

But if you want to save America's soul, Mark Lilla advised in The Once and Future Liberal, leftists and moderates have to participate in the system. “Workshops and university seminars will not do it,” he wrote. “Online mobilizing and flash mobs will not do it. Protesting, acting up and acting out will not do it. The age of movement politics is over, at least for now. We need no more marchers. We need more mayors. And governors and state legislators and members of Congress.”

Taking the country back from Trump is as simple as turning out opponents of his presidency in large enough numbers come November. Doing that work effectively is more important than any protest, rally, march or hashtag.


• Conor Friedersdorf is a contributing writer to Opinion at the Los Angeles Times, a staff writer at The Atlantic and founding editor of the Best of Journalism, a newsletter that curates exceptional nonfiction.

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-friedersdorf-vote-better-20171227-story.html
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Kiwithrottlejockey
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« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2018, 12:22:31 pm »


from the print edition of the Los Angeles Times....

It's long way to November, sure, but having said that …

A primer on why the political stakes are sky-high for mid-term election.

By  MARK Z. BARABAK | Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Democrats stand a good chance of winning a majority in the House and possibly the Senate too. History and an unpopular GOP president are in their favor. — Photograph: Mark Wilson/Getty Images.
Democrats stand a good chance of winning a majority in the House and possibly the Senate too. History and an unpopular GOP president are in their favor.
 — Photograph: Mark Wilson/Getty Images.


IT'S A NEW YEAR — happy! happy! — and being even-numbered that means elections across the country.

The political stakes, befitting the bigger-means-better Age of Trump, are considerably higher than usual.

For the first time in years, control of the House is seriously in play and, with it, the prospects for the latter half of Trump's presidential term, which could bolster his record for re-election in 2020 or prove a death march through a slough of subpoenas and congressional torment.

Control of the Senate is a longer shot for Democrats, but also within the realm of possibility — especially after last month's upset victory in Alabama.

Not least, there will be 36 gubernatorial races in 2018. In many states the winner will oversee the once-a-decade redrawing of congressional boundaries, which will go a considerable way toward determining control of the House, not just for one election cycle but well into the 2020s.

Let's start with the House.

OK. There are 435 seats. Each will be on the ballot for November 6th. To gain control, which they lost in 2010, Democrats need to win at least 24 seats held by Republicans.

What's the chance of that?

Right now it looks pretty darned good. Mid-term elections — so called because they fall at the mid-point of a president's four-year term — tend to be a referendum on the incumbent, and that favors the opposition party because angry or unhappy voters are typically more inclined to turn out than contented voters.

Hmm. Is that some kind of fake news?

Actually, there's plenty of history to support that assertion. Going back to 1862, the president's party has averaged a loss of 32 seats in mid-term elections. In modern times, the president's party has lost seats in 18 of the last 20 midterms, with an average loss of 33 seats.

Elections aren't based on history. What about the current environment?

That's also shaping up well for Democrats. Polls have found party voters expressing far more interest in the midterm than Republicans, which is usually a sign of increased turnout. Also, on the so-called generic ballot question — which party would you rather see control Congress? — Democrats are running significantly ahead of the GOP. That's another positive sign for them.

Finally, Democratic turnout in several special elections in 2017 ran considerably higher than expected — even in contests the party lost — which is another reason for Democratic optimism come November.

So that's it for Republican Speaker Paul D. Ryan?

Not necessarily. There's an old saying: (Fill in the blank) is a lifetime in politics. But we won't trot out that tired cliche. Suffice to say it's a long way to November.

Anything to watch in the meantime?

There's a special election in late March to fill a vacant House seat in southwestern Pennsylvania. It's strongly pro-Trump country — he carried the district by nearly 20 percentage points — but after the shocker in Alabama, Democrats believe they may have a chance at another upset. If so, you'll start hearing the W-word with increased frequency.

“W” as in Wawa?

No, that's a chain of East Coast convenience stores. “W” as in wave.

How about the Senate?

There are 34 seats at stake in November, or just over a third of the 100-member body. Republicans will hold a 51-49 advantage once Democrat Doug Jones is sworn in on Wednesday as Alabama's new senator. That means Democrats need a gain of just two seats to take control.

So they have an even better shot at a Senate majority than winning control of the House?

Actually, no.

Huh?

Of the 34 seats, Democrats will have to defend 26, compared with just eight for Republicans. And of those 26, 10 are in states that Trump carried in 2016. So to prevail, Democrats will have to hold onto every seat they have, plus two held by independents who vote with the party. Then they need to pick up at least two Republican-held seats. That's a pretty tall order.

Indeed.

Their best shot appears to be in Arizona, where GOP Senator Jeff Flake is stepping down, and Nevada, where Republican Dean Heller has the distinction of being the only Republican senator up for election in 2018 in a state won by Hillary Clinton. But in a wave year, other states could come into play.

And those governors' races?

There will 36 guber-natorial elections across the country, in big states such as California, Texas, New York and Florida. Obviously, the winner will matter a lot to the folks living in those three dozen states. But the results will also have national import, owing to redistricting.

Do tell.

Every 10 years, after the latest census, the 435 House seats are reapportioned to reflect population changes across the country. In most states, it is then up to legislators to draw new congressional districts lines, subject to guber-natorial veto.

The way those lines are drawn can go a long way toward determining which party wins each seat.

After the 2010 census, the Republicans used their upper hand in state houses to diminish Democratic strength across the country, allowing the GOP to keep a firm grip on the House throughout the decade.

In 2016, for instance, Republicans won 50.6% of the congressional vote nationwide but 55.4% of House seats, or 21 “extra” seats, according to an analysis by the Brookings Institution.

When does the next census take place?

In 2020.

That's a lifetime in politics!

Please.


__________________________________________________________________________

• Mark Z. Barabak covers state and national politics for the Los Angeles Times, based in San Francisco. A reporter for nearly 40 years, Barabak has covered campaigns and elections in 49 of the 50 states, including all or part of the last 10 presidential campaigns and dozens of mayoral, gubernatorial and U.S. Senate contests. He also reported from the White House and Capitol Hill during the George H.W. Bush and Clinton administrations.

http://enewspaper.latimes.com/infinity/article_popover_share.aspx?guid=789d2755-e342-4d76-853d-d3fd0edd3971
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« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2018, 12:22:45 pm »


from the print edition of the Los Angeles Times....

Texas Democrats' reason to hope

A Latina lesbian ex-sheriff is running for governor. And even if she loses, her party may win.

By MOLLY HENNESSY-FISKE | Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Guadalupe “Lupe” Valdez was an unlikely winner as Dallas County sheriff in 2004. Democrats hope she can beat long odds again in the guber-natorial race. — Photograph: Louis DeLuca/Dallas Morning News.
Guadalupe “Lupe” Valdez was an unlikely winner as Dallas County sheriff in 2004. Democrats hope she can beat long odds again in the guber-natorial race.
 — Photograph: Louis DeLuca/Dallas Morning News.


DALLAS — Guadalupe “Lupe” Valdez was making the rounds in jeans and a purple blouse on a recent Sunday at Norma's Cafe, a popular diner packed with a diverse mix of Texans.

“Hey, sheriff!” exclaimed a Latino in a Dallas Cowboys jersey, and Valdez was soon at his side, grinning.

“I was afraid people wouldn't recognize me without the uniform,” she said.

The week before, Valdez — the state's first openly gay and first Latina sheriff, with almost four terms under her belt as Dallas County's top cop — announced she was resigning to run for governor. In a crowded Democratic primary, she's the front-runner with the potential to boost party voter registration and turnout long-term, especially among Latinos. Though Valdez is unlikely to beat Republican Greg Abbott, a popular governor in a red state with $50 million to spend, she could benefit from a backlash against President Trump, mobilizing Latino voters.

“We're giving people hope,” Valdez said. “A lot of people have written off Texas.”

Valdez, 70, is no stranger to adversity. She grew up in San Antonio, the youngest of eight children in a Mexican American family, migrating with her parents to work the fields. She waited tables to put herself through Southern Nazarene University, then joined the Women's Army Corps. She was not openly gay at the time, but had friends who were gay or were spotted at gay bars and dishonorably discharged as a result.

She came out later in life, in stages: living more openly in the 1990s, attending a gay-friendly church, working for the federal government and worrying less about the career implications as she rose through the ranks, becoming a senior agent with the Department of Homeland Security in 2002.

When she retired and ran for sheriff in 2004, she was out of the closet, but even with the voter turnout boost of a presidential election she was a long shot.

“She ran for sheriff in a county that did not have a single countywide official that was a Democrat and hadn't for 20 years. She ran against an incumbent sheriff. She did not have any experience running for office. Few people, if any, gave her any chance of winning,” said Texas Democratic Party Chairman Gilberto Hinojosa.

Valdez won by a slim margin, 51% to 49%. But her win helped set the stage for a larger victory, attracting Democratic candidates who swept into office in 2006. Two years later, Valdez's margin of victory widened, 55% to 45%. Last year, she was re-elected by the widest margin yet, 59% to 37%. As Dallas' population grew and diversified, one of the keys to those victories was turning out minority voters, she said.

Valdez, who announced last month that she was resigning as sheriff to run for governor, said her campaign would be focused on economic issues that concern blue-collar families and the elderly, those who worked their way up like she did, subsisting at times on peanut butter and jelly, making sure they paid the rent, cleaned up for church and prayed over their meals the way she and others did at Norma's.

“She understands what those folks are going through, what they need, what their families are all about,” Hinojosa said. “The only reason Texas is not a blue state is because the huge Latino population in this state has not turned out the way it should and the way it has in states like California.”

Wendy Davis, the Democrat who ran against Abbott in 2014, lost by more than 20 percentage points, a setback for Democrats statewide. She had risen to national prominence as a state legislator filibustering for abortion rights.

“One hope that Democrats have for Lupe Valdez is that she increases voter registration and turnout among Latinos and she shifts the percentage of the Latino vote won by Democrats from the 55[%] to 65% range, where it's been recently in Texas, to the 65[%] to 75% range, where it's been in places like California,” said Mark Jones, a political science professor at Rice University in Houston.

Democrats now have two paths to relevance in Texas, Jones said: Peel off moderate, white Republican voters or mobilize their base, especially Latinos.

Andrew White, 45, a Houston entrepreneur and son of the late Democratic Governor Mark White, represents the first path. Valdez represents the second.

Valdez, though openly gay, is “not defined by her sexual orientation” the way Davis was defined by her stand on abortion, Jones said: “She's not Harvey Milk.” Her girlfriend, a Dallas chiropractor, doesn't plan to make many appearances on the campaign trail. Where Davis looked like a model, Valdez said, she looks like a “grandma”.

Texas Republican Party Chairman James Dickey believes Valdez's record on “sanctuary” cities and other issues makes her unpalatable to Texas moderates. He noted that when liberal Democrat Leticia Van de Putte ran for lieutenant governor in 2014 against conservative fellow state Senator Dan Patrick, a Tea Party stalwart, she lost by a wide margin, 39% to 58%.

“There was a limited appeal as far as identity, and at the same time a massive disconnect on values, issues and principles,” Dickey said. “No moderate of any race who looks at Lupe's track record would consider her a moderate.”

Dickey also doesn't expect Valdez to benefit from a Trump backlash at the polls. “I will be shocked if we do not have a statewide candidate this election that wins straight up a majority of the Hispanic vote, because it's our issues that resonate with all Texans,” he said.

Former Dallas County Republican Party Chairman Jonathan Neerman disagreed.

“Traditional Latino Republican voters could abandon the party because of Trump and vote Democrat, or the sleeping giant could awaken and new Latino voters could vote Democrat,” Neerman said.

In that way, Valdez would lay the groundwork for another Democrat to stage a successful campaign for governor in 2022, Jones said, such as San Antonio congressman Joaquin Castro or his twin brother, former U.S. Housing secretary and San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro.

Democrat Tony Sanchez managed to dramatically boost Latino turnout when he ran for governor against Republican Rick Perry in 2002, Jones said, but the party missed the chance to capitalize on that four years later.

“What Lupe Valdez is going to try to do is engage the Latino community that 2018 is a stepping-stone,” Jones said. “The key for Democrats will be that the Valdez candidacy is not a one-off, that it sets things up for another candidate in 2022.”


__________________________________________________________________________

• Molly Hennessy-Fiske is a staff writer for the Los Angeles Times, where she has spent a decade covering foreign, national, metro and business news, including reporting rotations in Afghanistan, Egypt, Iraq and Lebanon. She won an Overseas Press Club award in 2015, a Dart award from Columbia University in 2014, was a finalist for the Livingston Awards and Casey Medal and won state awards for her work in California, Florida, New York and North Carolina. She completed a Thomson Reuters fellowship in Lebanon in 2006 and a Pew fellowship reporting from Mexico in 2004. She has reported for newspapers in Boston, Miami, Raleigh, Schenectady, Syracuse, Washington and West Palm Beach. Hennessy-Fiske grew up in Upstate New York before attending Harvard College, graduating with a bachelor's degree in social studies in 1999. She is currently Middle East bureau chief.

http://enewspaper.latimes.com/infinity/article_popover_share.aspx?guid=759ac7dc-e65f-4177-ab2a-5f1599541d17
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« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2018, 12:23:32 pm »


Wouldn't that be hilarious eh? A lesbian latino Governor of Texas.

Those mentally-defective bible-bashing, gun-toting WHITIE Texas Baptists will be frothing at the mouth if she wins.

I hope she does win. Just to piss them off!!

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« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2018, 05:39:58 pm »

hahaha you're echo chamber for morons
but in here there's just one stupid white clown

you

lmao Grin
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« Reply #5 on: January 05, 2018, 11:31:16 pm »

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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2018, 06:51:49 pm »


from The Washington Post....

The ‘value divide’ between Democrats and Republicans
is getting bigger and bigger


Voters tend to think the worst of their opponents across the political aisle.

By EUGENE SCOTT | 7:00AM EDT — Sunday, March 18, 2018

Democrat supporters celebrate Conor Lamb's special election win on March 13th in Pennsylvania. — Photograph: Associated Press.
Democrat supporters celebrate Conor Lamb's special election win on March 13th in Pennsylvania. — Photograph: Associated Press.

IN THE Trump era, Americans may be more polarized now than ever. But while Americans have always known they don't all share the same politics, more of them are now questioning whether their political opponents even share their same values.

According to the most recent Pew Research Center data, among those who approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as president, 51 percent say that people who feel differently about the president probably do not share many of their other values and goals.

And among those who disapprove of Trump's job performance, 56 percent say that people who approve of the president probably do not share their other values and goals.

This is a vastly different response from the last time this question was asked in 2017. In July, nearly 59 percent of Democrats and nearly 56 percent of Republicans said that while members of the other party felt differently about politics, they probably shared many of their same values and goals.

But perhaps we shouldn't be surprised that there are fewer widespread perceptions of common ground. Past data from the Pew Research Center shows that the top priorities of Democrats and Republicans are indeed different.

According to a January 2017 survey, the five leading policy priorities for Republicans are:


  • Terrorism
  • The economy
  • Jobs
  • Health costs
  • The military

But the same survey shows the top five policy priorities for Democrats are:

  • Education
  • Environment
  • Terrorism
  • Poor people
  • Race relations

But one thing to consider is what people are looking at when they're assessing their political opponents's values. John Sides, a political-science professor at George Washington University who specializes in public opinion, voting and American elections, wrote about this for The Washington Post:

Quote
Our internal pictures of the opposite party are terribly inaccurate. When asked about the groups historically associated with each party, we think these groups make up a vastly larger fraction of each party than they really do. In other words, we think each party is essentially a huge bundle of stereotypes — and this tendency is particularly pronounced when we’re characterizing the opposite party.

Unfortunately, we have very caricatured notions of who the parties are. And the more we exaggerate the differences in the social bases of each party, the more tribal partisanship becomes.

A 2016 Pew Research Center survey showed just how differently people see their political opposites. And much of that perception is negative.

Nearly half of Republicans polled in that survey said Democrats are lazy, immoral and dishonest. The overwhelming majority of Democrats said Republicans are close-minded. Large percentages of those on the left said those on the right are dishonest and immoral. And about a third of both Democrats and Republicans said they think members of the other party are unintelligent.

When a large majority in a group believe that people who don't share their political values are unintelligent, it can be really difficult, if not impossible, to find common ground.

We pay lots of attention to the lack of bipartisanship in Congress, but this data shows that the inability to get on the same page is a deeply rooted problem. Lawmakers may find it challenging to work with their colleagues across the aisle when each side represents people who think so little of the other side when it comes to making America as great as possible for everyone.


__________________________________________________________________________

• Eugene Scott writes about identity politics for The Fix at The Washington Post. He was previously a breaking news reporter at CNN Politics.

__________________________________________________________________________

Related to this topic:

 • VIDEO: Why women could sway the 2018 mid-terms

 • Once-safe Republican districts suddenly in play as Democrats expand the map

 • Republicans aren't in denial. They know they're in trouble.

 • ‘Denial ain't just a river in Egypt’: Republicans fret over Pennsylvania setback


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/03/18/americans-generally-dont-think-their-political-opponents-share-their-values
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« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2018, 06:53:08 pm »


Excellent news, eh?

Americans hate each other so much that their country is going to keep on becoming more and more disfunctional.

And that will speed up the downfall of the United States of America.

Yep....EXCELLENT NEWS for the rest of the world.

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« Reply #8 on: March 20, 2018, 03:53:42 am »

whatever floats your leaky boat

when trump drains the swamp and after he drowns all the stupid criminal deep state commies i will laugh my arse off


But the same survey shows the top five policy priorities for Democrats are:

Education = kids brainwashed by pc commie stupid teachers
Environment = a fake tax on air, a rip off where the rothschilds make a fortune robbing the world
Terrorism     = Obama created and armed isis and screwed up the military,obama personally took part in drone strikes on afghan wedding parties
Poor people = democrats created plenty of poor people because they are too stupid to run the economy
Race relations = obama and the democrats stirred up division between blacks and whites trying to get poor exploited race baited  black people to vote for them.

there is a war between the corrupt out of control cia and trump admin
the cia has totally infiltrated the democratic party soon they will get destroyed

i trust the trump and the military's plan to clean out the swamp scum
keep an eye on the news and watch the fun. Grin

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« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2018, 04:24:15 am »


The only place Trump is headed for is to jail....following his bent & crooked sons, his bent daughter and his crooked jewish son-in-law.

The instant the 46th President of the USA is sworn in, the Feds will slap the handcuffs on Donald J. Trump and haul his sorry arse off to jail, then to court.

However, by then, the orange idiot will have done the good thing and fucked-up the USA permanently, turning them into a has-been power.


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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2018, 05:33:32 pm »


Hahaha.....the Republicans are continuing to lose elections in “Trump country”.

Bring on the mid-term elections.




from The Washington Post....

Democrats just won another big race in Wisconsin
 — and Republicans are panicking


Here's what the Democrats' win in a Wisconsin Supreme Court race tells us about November.

By AMBER PHILLIPS | 9:41AM EDT — Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Wisconsin candidate Judge Rebecca Dallet greets supporters as they watch returns on election night at Good City Brewing in Milwaukee. — Photograph: Rick Wood/Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel/Associated Press.
Wisconsin candidate Judge Rebecca Dallet greets supporters as they watch returns on election night at Good City Brewing in Milwaukee.
 — Photograph: Rick Wood/Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel/Associated Press.


“WE ARE at risk of a blue wave in Wisconsin.” That's none other than the governor of Wisconsin, a Republican, warning his party on Tuesday night that things could go badly for them in just a few months — including his own re-election.



The evidence Governor Scott Walker has to back up that prediction is pretty solid: On Tuesday, Democrats won a statewide election for a state Supreme Court seat by more than 11 points. That comes after Wisconsin Democrats won a special election for a state Senate seat in January in historically Republican territory.

Walker was already ringing the alarm bells after that first loss in January. He figured it would serve as a lesson for Republicans not to get complacent after so many years of Republicans dominating this state.

Now that he has lost another race, this one statewide with a candidate he was all in for, Walker is outright hitting the panic button for his party. Here are tweets he fired off Tuesday night:






Some of this is clearly a messaging strategy. Walker is attempting to leverage these losses to spring his party into action: Donate, knock on doors and, most important, be as motivated as Democrats clearly are to show up and vote.

But Walker's actions elsewhere revealed how suddenly he is truly concerned about Democrats: After January's loss, he tried to pause two other special elections, which would leave the seats vacant for a year. The GOP-controlled state legislature even tried to pass a bill banning special elections in the state after April in an election year. The courts overruled Walker's attempts to halt them, and Walker is under a court order to hold those elections in June.

Democrats, conversely, are pretty amped up after Tuesday's win. Rebecca Dallet's victory was the first open Supreme Court race that a progressive has won since 1995. Democrats erased a similar decades-long drought by winning January's state Senate seat.

“If Walker thought a small little Senate district up in the northwestern part of the state going Democratic for first time [in decades] was a wake-up call,” said Wisconsin Democratic operative Scot Ross, “this would be a Category 8 hurricane.”

These Supreme Court elections are technically non-partisan, which makes this statewide race an imperfect comparison to November's governor and Senate races. (Walker is trying to win a third term in November, and Tammy Baldwin, a Democrat, is one of our top most vulnerable incumbents in Senate races.)

But both sides made very clear who was their favorite potential justice. Walker backed his candidate, Michael Screnock, with GOP party money, by some estimates making up 40 percent of total fundraising for him. The National Rifle Association sent mailers for Screnock. A manufacturing association spent nearly $1 million on ads for him.

Meanwhile, Joe Biden made a robo-call for Dallet. The National Democratic Redistricting Committee, headed by Eric H. Holder Jr., President Barack Obama's former attorney general, also spent money in this race.

And Dallet's win wasn't just a warning to Republicans. Her win shifts the court from a 5-2 conservative majority to 4-3, and it gives Democrats the possibility of overtaking the majority in time for the court to chime in on any GOP-drawn electoral maps after the 2020 Census. The U.S. Supreme Court is deciding on whether Wisconsin's state legislative districts are unconstitutionally partisan in favor of Republicans.

For all of Walker's alarm-bell-ringing, Republicans close to him say he's not reading too much into losing this seat. There is plenty of data that shows Democrats winning judicial races in the spring and Republicans going on to have a good November.

Plus, the Wisconsin Republican Party is one of the most organized and effective state parties in the nation. It can arguably claim to have won Donald Trump the presidency in November.

But across the nation, Republicans are on the receiving end of warning signs that their party could be in for a terrible election year. And right now, Wisconsin is no different.


__________________________________________________________________________

• Amber Phillips writes about politics for The Fix at The Washington Post. She was previously the one-woman D.C. bureau for the Las Vegas Sun and has reported from Boston and Taiwan.

__________________________________________________________________________

Related to this topic:

 • VIDEO: What Democrats need to win the House

 • Wisconsin Republicans put Trump over the top. Now they're trying to prove it wasn't a fluke.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/04/04/democrats-just-won-another-big-race-in-wisconsin-and-republicans-are-panicking
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« Reply #11 on: April 05, 2018, 07:37:34 pm »


from The Washington Post....

McConnell sounds alarm over mid-terms: ‘We don't know
whether it's going to be a Category 3, 4 or 5’


The top Senate Republican also offered an argument for keeping the Senate
in Republican hands, should the GOP lose the House.


By SEAN SULLIVAN | 12:41PM EDT — Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (Republican-Kentucky) talks during a news conference at the Capitol on March 6th. — Photograph: J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (Republican-Kentucky) talks during a news conference at the Capitol on March 6th.
 — Photograph: J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press.


SENATE MAJORITY LEADER Mitch McConnell (Republican-Kentucky) is predicting a difficult mid-term election year for his party, likening it this week to a severe storm.

“This is going to be a challenging election year,” McConnell said in a Tuesday interview with the Kentucky Today editorial board. “We know the wind is going to be in our face. We don't know whether it's going to be a Category 3, 4 or 5.”

The interview marked some of the bluntest comments this year by the top Senate Republican, who is defending a 51-49 majority in November. McConnell raised the possibility that Republicans will lose their House majority. In doing so, he offered a potential argument Republican Senate candidates could use on the campaign trail.

“I'm hoping we can hold the Senate,” he said, “and the principal reason for that, even if we were to lose the House and be stymied legislatively, we could still approve appointments, which is a huge part of what we do.”

McConnell's remarks came as other prominent Republicans have been issuing warnings about the mid-terms. After a Wisconsin Supreme Court win by Democrats on Tuesday, Republican Governor Scott Walker warned of a “#BlueWave” in a post on Twitter.

The Republican leader has been warning about the difficult climate for months. “We go into this clear-eyed that this is going to be quite a challenging election,” he told The New York Times in February.

McConnell has frequently said that the Senate is in “the personnel business,” referring to its power to confirm executive branch nominees and federal judges. Last year, McConnell said the “single biggest issue in bringing Republicans home” in the 2016 election “was the Supreme Court.” That year, McConnell refused to fill a Supreme Court vacancy until after the election, making it an issue for voters to decide on in the campaign.

While recent special elections have shown there is a lot of energy in the Democratic Party, largely because of anger with President Trump, winning back control of the Senate will not be easy for the minority party. Democrats are defending seats in 10 seats in states Trump won in 2016. These include West Virginia and North Dakota, where Trump won by a wide margin.

For many conservative activists, judicial nominees are an important issue, giving McConnell's emerging pitch on behalf of Republican Senate candidates some potential to energize them. At the same time, McConnell is battling against criticism from some on the right that he has not been an effective leader. Even Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley, whom McConnell helped recruit to run for the Senate, would not commit to supporting him as leader if he is elected.

“I think it's a little premature to say who I would and wouldn't vote for,” Hawley said in a recent interview with The Washington Post.


__________________________________________________________________________

• Sean Sullivan covers national politics for The Washington Post. Before joining The Post in the summer of 2012, he was the editor of Hotline On Call, National Journal Hotline's politics blog. He has also worked for NHK, Japan's public broadcaster, and ABC News. Sullivan is a graduate of Hamilton College, where he received a degree in philosophy.

__________________________________________________________________________

Related to this topic:

 • VIDEO: Will President Trump be a drag on Republicans running in 2018?

 • Uncertainty about McCain's future fuels GOP questions about Senate seat


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2018/04/04/mcconnell-sounds-alarm-over-midterms-we-dont-know-whether-its-going-to-be-a-category-3-4-or-5
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« Reply #12 on: April 05, 2018, 08:15:10 pm »


Yep....it's hugely entertaining watching those Republicans running around like headless chooks in Trump territory, panicking.

The mid-term elections later this year are going to be a real hoot!!




from The Washington Post....

The Republicans' panic about their big Wisconsin loss is revealing

The angrier party is the one that wins. We know which party that is right now.

By PAUL WALDMAN | 1:36PM EDT — Wednesday, April 04, 2018

Photograph: Ralph Freso/Getty Images.
Photograph: Ralph Freso/Getty Images.

YESTERDAY there was an election for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court (and yes, it's insane that we choose judges this way, a system used almost nowhere else in the world). The election was won rather easily by the liberal candidate, Rebecca Dallet.

In response, Governor Scott Walker (Republican) issued a call to arms for Republicans in his state and around the country:




This idea that politicians win by sharing “our positive story with voters” is a common part of our collective mythology about how campaigns work. But it's utterly, completely wrong.

I'm pretty sure nobody understands that fact better than Walker. Because there may be no governor in the United States who has worked harder to rig the game in his party's favor than he has. As soon as he got elected, Walker began a long war on unions in the state, knowing they are one of the cornerstones of Democratic power. He signed a voter ID law that successfully disenfranchised thousands of voters. He rewrote the state's campaign finance laws to decrease transparency and enhance corporate influence. And he presided over one of the most aggressive gerrymanders of state legislative districts anywhere in the country, which has allowed Republicans to retain large majorities in the legislature even when they get fewer votes than Democrats.

In other words, Walker doesn't seem to believe that sharing his positive story with voters is enough to win elections. And on that, he's completely right.

For better or worse — usually, but not always, for worse — fear and anger are much more powerful determinants of election outcomes than which party has the more compelling positive story to tell. The reason the opposition party almost always picks up seats in midterm elections is that they're the ones who are mad, so they're the ones who turn out to vote.

It happens in general elections, too. Every once in a while you get a candidate like Barack Obama running on hope, but even in 2008, his win was fed in no small part by anger at President George W. Bush. And it's a little rich for Walker to claim that Democrats are driven by anger and hatred, when the leader of his party got elected by saying Mexicans are rapists and by promising to build a wall on our border, ban Muslims from entering the country and throw his opponent in jail.

But let's say the Republican Party decided that Walker is right, and they just need to share their positive story this fall. What would they say?

Well, they'd say they cut taxes. And … um … yeah … they cut taxes.

That gets to a key weakness of the GOP's “positive story.” As the party of small government, their positive story is pretty thin. They've had complete control of government for nearly 15 months, and what have they done besides that tax cut? They tried and failed to repeal the Affordable Care Act. They repealed some Obama-era regulations. They haven't reformed the immigration system, though they did manage to pass a budget. They increased military spending.

But that's pretty much it, and Republicans have decided they aren't going to be doing any more major legislation between now and the election. The only big things they want to do are things they know the public would freak out about, like privatizing Medicare, so they aren't going to try. It doesn't add up to much of a positive story to tell, even if you think that a positive story is what they need to prevent that blue wave.

Don't get me wrong; I'm not saying that parties don't need to tell voters what they want to accomplish. We're seeing that with the Democrats that have been having such success in special and off-year elections since 2016: They've talked plenty about what they want to do in office. But they've also counted on anger at President Trump to get their voters excited and mobilized. As the party of government, they have a much more substantial agenda to offer. But it's only in years such as this one, when their voters have reason to be mad, that they can really capitalize.

But we're going to keep getting told this tale about how the positive story is what matters. After every loss in the last year or so, Republicans have repeated some variation of: “We just didn't do a good enough job explaining how great our policies are.” If only they had been able to make people understand how the tax cut has transformed everyone's lives for the better, they would have won in a rout. I can promise you, if there is indeed a blue wave this November, Republicans are certain to keep saying that it was a failure of communication, not of their (or Trump's) policies or ideas.

The sad truth is that we're caught in a cycle of reaction and counter-reaction that shows no sign of abating. Bill Clinton got elected and then Republicans got mad and took back Congress, then George W. Bush got elected and Democrats got mad and took back Congress, then Obama got elected and Republicans got mad and took back Congress, then Trump got elected and Democrats got mad and are probably going to take back Congress, or at least the House.

But if the GOP wants to follow Walker's advice and keep telling their positive story, they should go right ahead and see how it works out for them.


__________________________________________________________________________

• Paul Waldman is a contributor to The Plum Line blog at The Washington Post, and a senior writer at The American Prospect.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/04/04/the-republicans-panic-about-their-big-wisconsin-loss-is-revealing
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« Reply #13 on: April 06, 2018, 04:27:16 pm »



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« Reply #14 on: Today at 12:28:24 am »


from The Washington Post…

Former FBI director Comey urges votes for Democrats this fall

In a tweet, the former Republican argued that Republicans have not provided an adequate check on the president.

By JOHN WAGNER | 7:22AM EDT — Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Former FBI director James B. Comey testifies before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, on Capitol Hill in Washington D.C., on June 8, 2017. — Photograph: J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press.
Former FBI director James B. Comey testifies before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, on Capitol Hill in Washington D.C., on June 8, 2017.
 — Photograph: J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press.


JAMES B. COMEY, the FBI director fired last year by President Trump, is urging voters to support Democrats in this year's congressional elections.

Comey, until recently a Republican, argued on Twitter on Tuesday night that the GOP, which controls both chambers of Congress, has failed to provide an adequate check on Trump.

“All who believe in this country's values must vote for Democrats this fall,” he wrote. “Policy differences don't matter right now. History has its eyes on us.”




Trump and Comey publicly sparred in recent months as Comey conducted a publicity tour for his book, A Higher Loyalty: Truth, Lies and Leadership, a 304-page tell-all that describes Trump's presidency as a “forest fire” and portrays the president as an ego-driven congenital liar.

Trump responded by calling Comey an “untruthful slime ball” and praising his decision to dismiss him in May 2017 in an act that has been under scrutiny by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III.

Comey was highly critical of Trump's performance earlier this week during a joint news conference with Russian President Vladi­mir Putin at their summit in Helsinki.

At the news conference, Trump appeared to side with Putin over the U.S. intelligence community, which has concluded that Russia interfered the U.S. election in 2016.

“This was the day an American president stood on foreign soil next to a murderous lying thug and refused to back his own country,” Comey wrote afterward. “Patriots need to stand up and reject the behavior of this president.”

A Republican for most of his adult life, Comey recently said he now considers himself an independent.


__________________________________________________________________________

John Wagner is a national reporter who leads The Washington Post's new breaking political news team. He previously covered the Trump White House. During the 2016 presidential election, Wagner focused on the Democratic campaigns of Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders and Martin O'Malley. He earlier chronicled Maryland government for more than a decade, a stretch that included O’Malley's eight years as governor and part of the tenure of his Republican predecessor, Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. He came to The Post from The News & Observer in Raleigh, North Carolina, where he served as the paper's Washington correspondent, covering the 2004 presidential bid of Senator John Edwards and the final years in office of Senator Jesse Helms.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/former-fbi-director-comey-urges-votes-for-democrats-this-fall/2018/07/18/7c2b7d1c-8a77-11e8-8aea-86e88ae760d8_story.html
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« Reply #15 on: Today at 01:56:13 am »

i like a good soap

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Are you sick of the bullshit from the sewer stream media spewed out from the usual Ken and Barby dickless talking point look a likes.

If you want to know what's going on in the real world...
And the many things that will personally effect you.
Go to
http://www.infowars.com/

AND WAKE THE F_ _K UP

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